If this comes to pass it would be the largest increase in IC unit shipments since the boom year of 2010.
After a 6 percent drop in IC unit shipments in 2019, and an 8 percent increase in 2020, IC Insights forecasts a huge 21 percent jump in IC unit shipments this year. Unit shipments in 2021 are forecast to reach 391.2 billion, more than 11x the 34.1 billion units shipped over 30 years ago in 1990.
The 2020-2025 IC unit volume compound annual growth rate is forecast to be 11 percent, five points more than the unit CAGR from 2015-2020.
Illustrating how rare a drop in IC units shipments is, 2019 was only the fifth time in the history of the IC industry that IC unit volumes declined (the previous four years were 1985, 2001, 2009, and 2012) and there have never been two consecutive years of declining IC unit shipments.
The CAGR trend line for IC unit volume from mid-2008 through 2015 was reduced to 6% from the historical CAGR of 9 percent. One of the primary reasons for this was that worldwide GDP increased at an average of only 2.1 percent over this eight-year period. Moreover, even with a 6 percent decline in IC unit shipments in 2019, the expected 2016 to 2021 quarterly IC unit volume shipment trend line is forecast to increase three percentage points to 9 percent, spurred by the expected huge 21 percent jump in IC unit shipments in 2021.
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